The following is listing of the size of relative global publishing markets, as developed by Rüdiger Wischenbart to illustrate his Global Ranking of Publishing Companies, a report produced in conjunction with PublishNews and numerous other industry trade publications. It is part of a broader effort of the International Publishers Association (IPA) to develop a global statistical database for the publishing industry.
As the ranking shows, Brazil occupies an honorable 9th position with a market value at consumer prices of 2.54 billion euros. Behind Spain and ahead of India, the Brazilian market is consolidated as Latin America’s largest. An important observation is that given the strong participation of the Brazilian government in the publishers’s sales — in 2011, it was 28.7% — the market value at consumer prices is underestimated if compared to other countries where the government participation is more discrete and the participation of the whole book chain on K-12 book sales increases the consumer prices of such products. In this study, when sales are made to the government, the consumer price equals the publishers’s income, making a relatively smaller market value. If the government participation was weighted in the calculation, Brazil would probably gain several positions.
On the negative side, one cannot ignore the low number of new titles and reprints per 1 million inhabitants in Brazil, which is 285 and ahead of only China (245) among the countries where such data was available.
The following is a graphic representation of the chart above.
Here is Wisenbart’s explanatory text:
Drawing the Global Map of Publishing Markets 2012: An experimental introduction
By Rüdiger Wischenbart
The Global Map of Publishing Markets is the first visual representation of publishing around the world by the numbers. The map demonstrates the way that books and the industry behind them reflect access to knowledge and to the opportunity to dive into the imaginary worlds brought to life by written words—where books are freely available and where books are hidden behind scores of cultural, social, or economic obstacles. The map and the data behind it provide a better understanding of the opportunities, as well as the challenges, in making reading and access to books universal.
The 2012 Global Map of Publishing Markets displays a world of striking inequalities. A few countries form powerful centres of gravity, with several more–those which economists call “emerging markets”–shown at least relatively equal to their size in terms of territory and population. But the majority of markets are difficult to identify, lost in the periphery.
Yet the Global Map of Publishing Markets and, even more so, the underlying data and research on market developments, do more than portray an uneven playing field. They can be used as a road map for anyone concerned with the globalization of culture, knowledge, and learning; they highlight huge opportunities for all those who are in the business of publishing and related industries. They hopefully serve as incentive and encouragement to stakeholders particularly in emerging markets and in lesser-represented regions. The strategic goal going forward is certainly adjusting this map so that in the future, the world of publishing more closely resembles that standard map of geographers and demographers—one in which countries have a roughly identical size with regard to their population and publishing market.
On the approach and methodology of the Global Map of Publishing Markets 2012
The Global Map of Publishing Markets represents domestic publishing markets by market value at consumer prices. This angle has been chosen because it seemed to be the most robust, most researchable, and most basic approach in view of gaining an understanding of publishing around the world on an empirical basis. Many more diversified aspects obviously come to mind to organize such a map, and they will form further explorations of the theme laid out here. In this first attempt, however, our goal was simply to create a starting point.
The initial research effort was launched in 2011 by the International Publishers Association (IPA), with additional funding from the London Book Fair and BookExpo America. The methodology and the research were developed and conducted by Rüdiger Wischenbart Content and Consulting.
The first step was to gather as much available data as realistically possible from the best available sources to start a database logging three primary indicators: first, the total net sales by publishers in a market; second, the market’s value at consumer prices; and third, the number of new title releases and re-editions. The data relied chiefly on input from national publishers’ associations and related organisations. For most countries, either only publishers sales or the market value was, if at all, available. The new title releases and re-editions functioned as a first context figure. These first findings were then checked for errors and plausibility through a pre-release in 2011 and early 2012.
The second step was to ask industry professionals – notably publishers, book fair organizers and regional intermediaries – for their critical assessment of the initial findings. A second body of data, primarily exports statistics from the largest exporting markets (UK, US, France and Spain), was added as a benchmark. This data was used to shed some light on regions that had little or even no publishing market statistics.
The third step was to explore the context of publishing, as it turned out that publishing markets reflect socioeconomic parameters of a country and can be correlated in meaningful ways with population size and GDP per capita. This allowed us to develop an initial (and still experimental) algorithm to systematically estimate the size of publishing markets for which no empirical data are available. These estimates were then cross referenced with respective numbers from countries with reliable data and with assessments by local experts.
The resulting table of retrieved and estimated values were visualized with the Worldmapper toolset (www.viewsoftheworld.net). Special thanks go to Dr Benjamin D. Hennig from University of Scheffield. Further details on the methodology will be published separately.
The data gathering effort for the Global Map of Publishing Markets 2012 could never have succeeded without the exceptional support, energy, and contributions from publishing professionals and trade organizations in countries and regions worldwide, who helped by making data available, reviewing interim results and critiquing, and by additional innovative efforts to add data with the ambition of improving the results of this initiative.
Our foremost gratitude is directed particularly to the German Börsenverein, the Federation of European Publishers (FEP), the British Publishers Association (PA) and the French Syndicat National du Livre (SNE), as well as to all these individuals and organizations that helped us generously. Special thanks for significant data input goes to:
Bodour Al Qasimi (EPA), Ayser Ali, (Lir Agency), Anne Bergman (FEP), Alistair Burtenshaw (London Book Fair), Carlo Carrenho (PublishNews Brazil), Cerlalc, Bachar Chebaro (Arab Scientific Publishers), Piera Constantini (Informationi Editoriali), Alejandro Cunat (University of Vienna), Holger Ehling (Ehling Media), Monica Fernandez Munoz (Spanish Ministry of Culture), Ingrid Fischer, Noah Genner (BookNet Canada), Yana Genova (NextPage), Martin Gonzalez (Promage, Argentina), Vladimir Grigoriev (Federal Agency of Press and Mass Communication, Russia), Seichi Higuchi (Japanese Booksellers and Publishers Association), Emma House (PA), Inge Kralupper (HVB), Péter Inkei (Budapest Observatory), Nasser Jarrous (Jarrous Press), Jiang Xiaojuan (International Publishing Studies Department; Chinese Academy of Press and Publication), Philipp Jones (The Bookseller), Tina Jordan (AAP), Dana Kalinova (BookWorld Prague), Mandy Knight (PA), Miha Kovac (Mladinsky Kniga, University of Ljubljana), Dani Landoff (Swissbooks), Bjarke Larsen (Dansk Bogmarkedet), Tove Leffler (Svensk Bokhandel), Vinutha Mallya (Mapin Publishing, India), Christine de Mazière (SNE), Renek Mendrun (National Library of Poland), Jim Milliot (Publishers Weekly), Seung Hyun Moon (Korean Publishers Association), Christina Mussinelli (AIE), Jonathan Nowell (Nielsen Book Scan), Ashkay Pathak, Simonetta Pillon (Informazioni Italiani), Silke Rabus (HVB), Olga Ro (Publishing Research Magazine, Russia), Steven Rosato (BookExpo America), Alexandra Shipetina (Russian Book Union), Ronald Schild (Börsenverein), Patricio Tixis (Planeta), Enrico Turrin (FEP), Arnaud Valette (SNE), Cecilia Van Dalen (Dutch Publishers Association), Len Vlahoas (BISG), Thomas Wilking (buchreport), Lasse Winkler (Svensk Bokhandel), Magdalena Zając (EMF Empik, Poland), Fernando Zambra (Promage, Argentina)